• About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact
Friday, May 20, 2022
  • Login
UK Reporter
  • Home
  • News
    Travellers Park Illegally On Dartford Heath

    Travellers Park Illegally On Dartford Heath

    Thanet Earth Accused Of Causing Light Pollution

    Thanet Earth Accused Of Causing Light Pollution

    Mayor Opening Dartford Food Bank Causes Outrage

    Mayor Opening Dartford Food Bank Causes Outrage

    Call For Witnesses After Assault In Strood

    Call For Witnesses After Assault In Strood

    Good Luck Finding Police In East Kent Today

    Good Luck Finding Police In East Kent Today

    Minster Action Group Plan Weekend Rally

    Minster Action Group Plan Weekend Rally

    Thanet Council Leader Reveals Plan To Delay Review On Additional 4,500 Homes

    Thanet Council Leader Reveals Plan To Delay Review On Additional 4,500 Homes

    Amended Planning Application Submitted For 2,000-Acre Otterpool Park

    Amended Planning Application Submitted For 2,000-Acre Otterpool Park

    Kent Trading Standards Warns Of Scam

    Kent Trading Standards Warns Of Scam

    Liam Fitzpatrick Missing From Erith

    Liam Fitzpatrick Missing From Erith

    Trending Tags

    • Donald Trump
    • Future of News
    • Climate Change
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
    • Flat Earth
  • Politics
    Boris Pledges To Dump Lefty Policies In Survival Deal With Tory MPs

    Boris Pledges To Dump Lefty Policies In Survival Deal With Tory MPs

    Keir Starmer Calls For Boris Johnson To Resign

    Keir Starmer Calls For Boris Johnson To Resign

    Boris Attacks Remainer ”Double Standards” As PM Addresses VAT Brexit Claims

    Boris Attacks Remainer ”Double Standards” As PM Addresses VAT Brexit Claims

    Hypocrisy and political manipulation behind the so-called “democracy summit” in the US

    Hypocrisy and political manipulation behind the so-called “democracy summit” in the US

    Brexit: Johnson Strikes New Trade Deal With New Zealand PM, Ardern

    Brexit: Johnson Strikes New Trade Deal With New Zealand PM, Ardern

    Brexit Trade Dispute: UK And EU Continue To Talk But Remain At Odds

    Brexit Trade Dispute: UK And EU Continue To Talk But Remain At Odds

    Trending Tags

    • Business
      Using a Debt Collection Agency post Covid in the UK

      Using a Debt Collection Agency post Covid in the UK

      National Grid to buy US wind and solar energy developer

      National Grid to buy US wind and solar energy developer

      Trump blasts Democratic demands for postal-service money, saying mail-in voting would be ‘fraudulent’

      Trump blasts Democratic demands for postal-service money, saying mail-in voting would be ‘fraudulent’

    • Technology
      New YouTube trick will completely change how you watch videos

      New YouTube trick will completely change how you watch videos

      Brits warned smart doorbell could give away vital clues about what’s inside your home and may INCREASE chance of robbery

      Brits warned smart doorbell could give away vital clues about what’s inside your home and may INCREASE chance of robbery

      NEW Google Pixel 6 deal with massive 65GB of data for £26 per month

      NEW Google Pixel 6 deal with massive 65GB of data for £26 per month

      Three biggest iPhone myths busted – including why you should NEVER dry with rice

      Three biggest iPhone myths busted – including why you should NEVER dry with rice

      PS5 and Xbox Series X face MORE stock delays as insiders warn of major shortage

      PS5 and Xbox Series X face MORE stock delays as insiders warn of major shortage

      I’m fuming after I was charged £180 for a ‘FREE’ app for my son – and I’m not the only one furious

      I’m fuming after I was charged £180 for a ‘FREE’ app for my son – and I’m not the only one furious

    • Opinion
    • Sports
      Snow Stops Kent Cricket Match

      Snow Stops Kent Cricket Match

      Kent Driver Hawkey To Race In DTM In 2022

      Kent Driver Hawkey To Race In DTM In 2022

      Gillingham Appoint Neil Harris As New Manager

      Gillingham Appoint Neil Harris As New Manager

      Steve Evans Leaves Gillingham Manager Post

      Steve Evans Leaves Gillingham Manager Post

      Frank Lampard Emerges Key Target For Newcastle Job

      Frank Lampard Emerges Key Target For Newcastle Job

      Haaland Set To Begin Talks With Manchester City In January

      Haaland Set To Begin Talks With Manchester City In January

      Trending Tags

      • Health
        Britain’s stockpiles of monkeypox vaccines boosted FIVE-FOLD as fears grow the virus is spreading

        Britain’s stockpiles of monkeypox vaccines boosted FIVE-FOLD as fears grow the virus is spreading

        Weight loss concerns to fertility issues, Dr Zoe answers your health queries

        Weight loss concerns to fertility issues, Dr Zoe answers your health queries

        I want one last cuddle with my kids and have told my husband to move on and not marry a bimbo, says Deborah James

        I want one last cuddle with my kids and have told my husband to move on and not marry a bimbo, says Deborah James

        Kickstart your weight loss and  refresh your system with a juice-cleanse for summer

        Kickstart your weight loss and refresh your system with a juice-cleanse for summer

        Mystery hepatitis outbreak spreads to 20 countries as parents urged to know signs

        Mystery hepatitis outbreak spreads to 20 countries as parents urged to know signs

        Women are being forced to pay up to NINE times over the odds for HRT and trade drugs in shady car parks

        Women are being forced to pay up to NINE times over the odds for HRT and trade drugs in shady car parks

        Trending Tags

        • Lifestyle

          How to Stop a Leaking of Your Pen

          Classy and Unique Designs Of Your Favorite Jewellery | Bespoke Jewellery London

          Classy and Unique Designs Of Your Favorite Jewellery | Bespoke Jewellery London

          The Handi Portable Blackout Blind

          Launching The Handi Portable Blackout Blind

          A Few Things to Consider Before Choosing a Private Cinema Viewing

          A Few Things to Consider Before Choosing a Private Cinema Viewing

          Orthorexia: When Healthy Eating Becomes Unhealthy

          Expressing Emotions Means Different Things To Different People

        • World
        • Lifestyle
        • Press Release
        No Result
        View All Result
        UK Reporter
        No Result
        View All Result
        Home World

        Independence 50/50

        by pakamin
        January 23, 2022
        in World
        Reading Time: 4min read


        The latest poll on independence by Savanta ComRes shows support for independence on a knive edge.

        Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta ComRes said: “A 50/50 split on the independence voting intention does represent a bit of shift towards Yes since our last poll in October, but ultimately given the disaster the UK government in Westminster is currently experiencing, one would perhaps expect support for independence to be higher.”

        I think that would be the immediate reaction of most people. Looking back at ComRes polls over recent months the tendency has been for No to be in the lead. The average No lead over six preceding polls comes in at 3.3% so there is a case that is indeed a clear improvement in Yes support. The last time ComRes found a 50/50 split was in early April 2021. For most of 2021 ComRes found No in the lead. Only their January 2021 poll and those for August, October and December 2020 gave Yes a clear lead when don’t knows were excluded. Those earlier polls gave YES an average lead of 6.5%.

        A quick look at possible correlation with Covid peaks and troughs does not give any clear implications that it is a factor in changes in support for independence. There is in any case a delay factor in major events moving opinion. Having said that Partygate clearly cut through in attitudes towards Boris Johnson with a speed and ferocity that has no real comparator for such a rapid change in public opinion.

        Favourability ratings of politicians

        This section provides some clear indication of trends on how the major players are viewed.

        Nicola Sturgeon remains consistently positive with a +13 rating, unchanged from before. Anas Sarwar with a +1 approval rating squeezes into positive territory. Starmer on -10 improves his position from -21 while Johnson who has never been flavour of the month in Scotland drops by -16 to a record score of -62. A rating that is only matched by Alex Salmond also on -62. Douglas Ross sees a slight drop from -19 to -21 which is barely significant against the background to the Tories’ unpopularity with the broader Scottish electorate.

        Rishi Sunak takes a hit dropping 10 points to -19. ComRes did not ask about Liz Truss who is seen as the front runner by the Tory membership and busy branding herself Thatcher Mark2. When it comes to governments the Scottish Government has a +7% rating whilst the UK Government is on -50%.

        The favourability tables have a column that caught my eye because some of the figures turned out to be of some significance on a second look. Headed Don’t know or Have not heard of includes some interesting percentages. Anas Sawar scores 12% and clearly needs some work on his recognition factor. Patrick Harvie on 16% and Lorna Slater on 24% also have work to do. Leading the pack on Do not Know or have not Heard of is Alex Cole-Hamilton at 33%. This is a bit of a worry for the Lib Dems when a third of voters do not register his existance. His net favourability rating among those who recognise the name is -15%. All the other politicians are on low single figures which is what would be expected of politicians with a recognisable profile, good or bad.

        So what does 50/50 mean for independence?

        Just taking a single poll that is showing a shift towards YES provides limited data, yet enough to show a great deal of work needs to be done and that can only be spearheaded by the Scottish government who are working again on preparations ahead of introducing the Independence Referendum Bill, delayed due to the pandemic.

        The scale of work needed is underlined by the breakdown in ComRes Table 4. The following breakdowns are for those indicating a high level (6-10) on turnout determination. Don’t knows are excluded.

        It may be 50/50 but the underlying data show marked gender differences with 56% of women planning to vote Yes and 56% of men planning to vote No. This is matched by 44% of men supporting Yes and 44% of women supporting No. The gender mirror needs a bit more reflection to remove this distortion. In broad age groupings 16-34 are 70% YES, 35-54 are 59% Yes and 55+ are down to 32% YES.

        Breakdown by region shows where Yes need to do more and in some parts a great deal more. In Central region Yes leads by 4% on 52%. In Glasgow, Yes are on 61% and even higher in Highlands and Islands on 65% and take the lead in Lothians with an 8% advantage at 54%. Mid Scotland and Fife gives No a narrow 2% lead on 51%. In the remaining 3 regions No is firmly in the lead with a 16% lead in North East Scotland, a 20% lead in the South of Scotland and a 14% lead in West of Scotland.

        It is only right to point out on a survey of this size the regional data comes from sub samples which may be magnifying Yes/No differences at region level. Our conclusion for now is take with a pince of salt. Nothing wrong with a pince of salt in the wound of over optimism. Even if the scale one way or the other may be magnifield that does not alter the identification of regions that need much more work done in advance of Indyref2.

        Scotland: Stuck behind the Brexit Iron Curtain

        At present there is an unusually high focus on Westminster that is diverting attention. Whether Johnson goes or stays will be decided in weeks and is almost beside the point. The Tory government will remain and continue with policies creating major issues for Scotland and barriers to our ambitions to rejoin the EU.

        The resurgence of economic activity in Northern Ireland with strong cross Ireland trade and easy access to the EU through membership of the Single Market and Customs Union underlines the extent of the economic damage inflicted on the rest of the nations of our very unequal union.

        The post Independence 50/50 appeared first on Newsnet.scot.



        Source link

        Related Posts

        CBI raids on several places of Congress leader Karti Chidambaram

        CBI raids on several places of Congress leader Karti Chidambaram

        Karti Chidambaram had allegedly issued visas to people of a Chinese company under his influence, in exchange for which he...

        Government Alert on Security of Amarnath Yatra, High Level Meeting Organized by Amit Shah

        Government Alert on Security of Amarnath Yatra, High Level Meeting Organized by Amit Shah

        New Delhi, Dt A high-level meeting was held at the Home Ministry today to review the security arrangements for the...

        Relieve people of heat from cloudy weather

        Relieve people of heat from cloudy weather

        Seasonal mood changes in Delhi-NCR Partly cloudy weather in Delhi on Monday New Delhi, Dt The mood of the season...

        Popular

        • Travellers Park Illegally On Dartford Heath
        • CBI raids on several places of Congress leader Karti Chidambaram
        • New YouTube trick will completely change how you watch videos
        • Rishi Sunak Feels Heat On Cost Of Living
        • Government Alert on Security of Amarnath Yatra, High Level Meeting Organized by Amit Shah
        • Relieve people of heat from cloudy weather
        • Rains wreak havoc in Assam: 3 killed
        • Justin Bieber Banned From Buying Ferrari
        • Thanet Earth Accused Of Causing Light Pollution
        • If an asteroid collides with Earth, it could wreak havoc
        • About
        • Advertise
        • Privacy & Policy
        • Contact

        Copyright © 2021 UK Reporter.co.uk.

        No Result
        View All Result
        • Home
        • News
        • Politics
        • Business
        • Technology
        • Opinion
        • Sports
        • Health
        • Lifestyle
        • World
        • Lifestyle
        • Press Release

        Copyright © 2021 UK Reporter.co.uk.

        Welcome Back!

        Login to your account below

        Forgotten Password?

        Create New Account!

        Fill the forms below to register

        All fields are required. Log In

        Retrieve your password

        Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

        Log In